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Gross Retention
NET long
500 bpsmedium4mo horizon

Thesis

Cloudflare's edge infrastructure positions it as the inference and security layer for the distributed enterprise — running models and enforcing policy at the edge, close to users, on infrastructure already deployed across 330+ cities. Its existing global network becomes a competitive asset that hyperscalers cannot replicate at comparable unit economics without building comparable edge footprints.

What would prove this wrong

Cloudflare revenue growth falls below 25% or dollar-based net retention drops below 115% in any quarter through FY2027

  • [falsified]Cloudflare reports revenue growth below 25% or dollar-based net retention below 115% in any quarterly filing through FY2027
  • [risk stop]Close drops 15% from open price

Status

pending review

Financial Analytics

$284.32
MCap 101.2B
EV 103.7B
Rev +35.9% YoY (+30.5% CAGR)
86% of 52w high
170.2x
Akamai Technologies, Inc.
PE 38.7xGM 57%
Fastly, Inc.
GM 61%
Zscaler, Inc.
GM 77%
MedianPE 38.7x
72.6%
-7.9%
-8.2%
Trendstable
FCF Yield0.7%
DCF Sanity Check-68%
$91.08 implied

Evaluation

No evaluation data available.