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Gross Retention
ZS long
500 bpsmedium4mo horizon

Thesis

Zscaler's zero-trust architecture — cloud-delivered policy enforcement between users, applications and the internet — becomes more valuable as enterprise perimeters dissolve. Deferred revenue grew 32% YoY, six percentage points faster than recognized revenue at 26%, signaling contract duration expansion the income statement has not yet captured. The architectural moat from replacing appliance estates creates switching costs that outlast competitive feature parity.

What would prove this wrong

Zscaler calculated billings growth falls below 20% in any quarter through FY2027

  • [falsified]Zscaler reports calculated billings growth below 20% in any quarterly filing through FY2027
  • [risk stop]Close drops 15% from open price

Status

pending review

Financial Analytics

$176.29
MCap 28.5B
EV 27.7B
Rev +25.4% YoY (+34.8% CAGR)
52% of 52w high
38.3x
Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
PE 302.2xGM 72%
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
GM 75%
Cloudflare, Inc.
GM 73%
MedianPE 302.2x
76.7%
-3.3%
-2.4%
Trendstable
FCF Yield3.9%
DCF Sanity Check+40%
$245.93 implied

Evaluation

No evaluation data available.